Crude Insights
August 2026
Take a step back with our monthly chart pack, where analysts highlight the most important trends and visuals shaping the oil market.
Oil Narrative
Crude
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June GohSenior Oil Market Analyst
Introduction
The Strait of Hormuz reopening has flooded the market with prompt AG barrels, crushing crude premiums even as flows stay below pre-war levels. Saudi cut its August OSP by $11/bbl into Asia. Freight rates remain elevated, eating into refining margin. Products and refining stay tight. Watch China exports and Western refinery reliability into peak summer.
"Do not expect VLCC rates to return to pre-war levels, thus crude landed costs remain high even if crude premiums weaken."
